8.3% in Q1-2022 the end of high GDP growth rates

May 12, 2022

While economic growth in the first quarter of 2022 is welcome, this is mainly driven by base effects and election-related spending. Growth is also weak and unsustainable considering the unfavorable jobs market. Things could be even worse depending on how the volatile global economy plays out. This will likely be the last relatively high growth reported, and the next administration will have to make do with weaker growth performance.